AGI and Global Security: Transformative Intelligence, Defence Systems, Strategic Stability, and Human Control by Bhuvan Jakkula (Author)

AGI and Global Security: Transformative Intelligence, Defence Systems, Strategic Stability, and Human Control by Bhuvan Jakkula is a definitive, pre-empirical scientific handbook designed for defence technologists, strategists, policymakers, and researchers examining the structural intersection of advanced machine intelligence and international security. Eschewing speculative hype and binary AGI timelines, the text model’s artificial intelligence as a multifaceted capability vectors whose strategic utility is strictly bounded by physical infrastructure, industrial capacity, epistemic reliability, and organizational control. Key Themes & Core Structure Generality & Physical Economy (Parts I & II): Breaks down intelligence into measurable task breadth, long-horizon agency, and distribution-shift robustness. It frames compute as industrial capital, analysing real-world supply chain bottlenecks across high-bandwidth memory (HBM), advanced packaging (CoWoS), lithography, and gigawatt-scale data-centre power constraints. Reliability & Multipliers (Parts III & IV): Establishes formal verification pipelines, probabilistic calibration under shift, internal-state monitoring, and continual learning controls. It evaluates the productivity multipliers of AI-accelerated science, factory automation, and secure software institutional pipelines against real-world replication and review bottlenecks. Défense & Strategic Stability (Parts V & VI): Examines military autonomy through systems architecture, human-machine teaming span-of-control limits (n*), sensor fusion, and logistics readiness. It analyses crisis instability, decision compression, and non-writeable nuclear command and control (NC3) firebreaks designed to prevent automated escalation. Geoeconomics & Governance (Parts VII & VIII): Evaluates digital sovereignty, technology denial via export controls, allied common-mode risk, and the limitations of technological primacy without industrial and institutional complements. It translates alignment, scalable oversight, living safety cases, least-privilege containment, and international verification into falsifiable engineering protocols. Empirical Research Program (Part IX): Outlines a multi-year collaborative research framework—including standardized protocols for calibration under shift (E1), agent permission exposure (E2), human span of control (E5), and an innovative human-judgment platform under machine speed (E7/E8)—alongside a Dynamic Data Register (Appendix G) that decouples volatile hardware and benchmark observations from foundational scientific theory. Target Audience Défense & National Security Professionals: Officers, analysts, and defence acquisition boards navigating autonomous systems, C2 architectures, and strategic stability. AI Safety & Governance Researchers: Engineers and policy specialists focused on model evaluation, alignment verification, containment sandboxes, and international inspection regimes. Academics & Graduate Students: Scholars in international relations, strategic studies, corporate law, and applied artificial intelligence seeking an uncompromising, metrics-driven framework. Read less

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